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Market Outlook

  • Orsen Okami
  • Posted by Orsen Okami
August 25, 2026

Big Tech's AI Capex Now Outruns the Cash Flow It Once Minted

The four largest hyperscalers now convert surplus cash into fixed assets faster than those assets earn, making return on capital the variable that decides this trade.

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Editorial illustration: private credit financing displacing syndicated bank debt in leveraged buyouts, KJ red disc signature
  • Orsen Okami
  • Posted by Orsen Okami
July 14, 2026

How Private Credit Is Displacing Bank Debt in Leveraged Buyouts: What It Means for Deal Valuations

<![CDATA[ TLDR: Private credit now funds 77% of leveraged buyouts globally, displacing...

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  • Orsen Okami
  • Posted by Orsen Okami
June 26, 2026

Where April 2025 Digital Health Capital Actually Went

April 2025's biggest digital-health cheques went to diagnostics, metabolic hardware, care-operations software, and fertility infrastructure. Where value compounds next.

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A row of unbranded GLP-1 autoinjector pens on a polished steel surface in a clean pharmaceutical setting
  • Orsen Okami
  • Posted by Orsen Okami
June 23, 2026

The GLP-1 Endgame: Value Is Migrating Off the Molecule

Lilly catches Novo, Ypsomed sells diabetes care, Virta cuts GLP-1 use, WeightWatchers files Chapter 11. Where the next decade of obesity-care value sits.

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  • Orsen Okami
  • Posted by Orsen Okami
January 8, 2026

Neumarz Market Outlook January 2026

2026 M&A trends: why European and Swiss buyers are targeting US assets, plus outlook on healthcare, financial services, and energy consolidation.

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  • Orsen Okami
  • Posted by Orsen Okami
December 29, 2025

The 2026 Strategic Horizon: Capital Allocation in an Era of Physical Scarcity and Fiscal Dominance

As the 2023-2025 cycle concludes, market consensus suggests a fundamental regime change. The "high nominal growth" era is giving way to a period defined by shrinking cash yields, physical resource constraints, and aggressive industrial policy.

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Chinese lion statue close up
  • Orsen Okami
  • Posted by Orsen Okami
March 12, 2025

March 2025 Financial Outlook: The Moment of Reckoning – Markets, Policy, and the Art of Staying Ahead

Markets are shifting faster than ever. Germany is spending big, America is...

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