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Market Outlook

  • gabrielg
  • Posted by gabrielg
July 21, 2026

Big Tech's Asset-Light Era Is Ending: AI Capex Now Outruns the Cash Flow It Once Minted

The four largest hyperscalers are converting a decade of surplus cash into fixed assets faster than AI revenue can justify — forcing investors to underwrite return on capital, not the earnings growth that carried the trade until now.

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Editorial illustration: private credit financing displacing syndicated bank debt in leveraged buyouts, KJ red disc signature
  • Orsen Okami
  • Posted by Orsen Okami
July 14, 2026

How Private Credit Is Displacing Bank Debt in Leveraged Buyouts: What It Means for Deal Valuations

<![CDATA[ TLDR: Private credit now funds 77% of leveraged buyouts globally, displacing...

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  • gabrielg
  • Posted by gabrielg
June 26, 2026

Where April 2025 Digital Health Capital Actually Went

April 2025's biggest digital-health cheques went to diagnostics, metabolic hardware, care-operations software, and fertility infrastructure. Where value compounds next.

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A row of unbranded GLP-1 autoinjector pens on a polished steel surface in a clean pharmaceutical setting
  • gabrielg
  • Posted by gabrielg
June 23, 2026

The GLP-1 Endgame: Value Is Migrating Off the Molecule

Lilly catches Novo, Ypsomed sells diabetes care, Virta cuts GLP-1 use, WeightWatchers files Chapter 11. Where the next decade of obesity-care value sits.

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  • Orsen Okami
  • Posted by Orsen Okami
January 8, 2026

Neumarz Market Outlook January 2026

2026 M&A trends: why European and Swiss buyers are targeting US assets, plus outlook on healthcare, financial services, and energy consolidation.

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  • Orsen Okami
  • Posted by Orsen Okami
December 29, 2025

The 2026 Strategic Horizon: Capital Allocation in an Era of Physical Scarcity and Fiscal Dominance

As the 2023-2025 cycle concludes, market consensus suggests a fundamental regime change. The "high nominal growth" era is giving way to a period defined by shrinking cash yields, physical resource constraints, and aggressive industrial policy.

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Chinese lion statue close up
  • Orsen Okami
  • Posted by Orsen Okami
March 12, 2025

March 2025 Financial Outlook: The Moment of Reckoning – Markets, Policy, and the Art of Staying Ahead

Markets are shifting faster than ever. Germany is spending big, America is...

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